Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.571880 0.632290 0.697481 0.773243 0.859090 0.953601 1.065877
2025-09-28 0.456711 0.536112 0.628205 0.743638 0.885461 1.055314 1.276085
2025-10-05 0.409921 0.501218 0.612499 0.759602 0.951167 1.195264 1.534857
2025-10-12 0.375140 0.473741 0.598781 0.771362 1.007150 1.323648 1.790397
2025-10-19 0.345758 0.448571 0.583367 0.776380 1.051245 1.437435 2.037415
2025-10-26 0.321456 0.426957 0.569372 0.780046 1.091433 1.547490 2.290976
2025-11-02 0.302383 0.410253 0.559783 0.787706 1.136440 1.667554 2.574196
2025-11-09 0.278692 0.384831 0.535250 0.770369 1.140823 1.724262 2.760942
2025-11-16 0.265050 0.372563 0.528380 0.778282 1.184128 1.846067 3.073103
2025-11-23 0.249384 0.356010 0.513597 0.772128 1.203432 1.929333 3.327773
2025-11-30 0.238028 0.344999 0.506172 0.776596 1.240041 2.045181 3.658600
2025-12-07 0.224322 0.329404 0.490386 0.765813 1.249077 2.112506 3.904756
2025-12-14 0.212215 0.315711 0.476923 0.758220 1.263720 2.193159 4.194098
2025-12-21 0.196733 0.295775 0.452147 0.729407 1.237521 2.194214 4.317635
2025-12-28 0.191418 0.291762 0.453007 0.745002 1.294208 2.361594 4.830440
2026-01-04 0.185723 0.286722 0.451718 0.756491 1.344025 2.521096 5.354693
2026-01-11 0.179278 0.280017 0.447092 0.761393 1.381301 2.659023 5.853707
2026-01-18 0.173083 0.273347 0.442038 0.764974 1.416090 2.795704 6.376100
2026-01-25 0.167953 0.268175 0.439223 0.772458 1.459423 2.956466 6.993574
2026-02-01 0.159397 0.256626 0.424365 0.755521 1.449864 2.996000 7.291653
2026-02-08 0.155100 0.252279 0.422194 0.763252 1.493724 3.165344 7.990066
2026-02-15 0.149108 0.244616 0.413496 0.757240 1.506841 3.262685 8.499979
2026-02-22 0.144926 0.239965 0.410070 0.761604 1.543453 3.422505 9.236676